Graduate Students
I'm recruiting three funded PhD students this year, starting Spring or Fall 2027.
I welcome applications from motivated students interested in paleoclimate science and environmental data science. Through the Paleoclimate Dynamics Laboratory at Northern Arizona University, I offer opportunities for graduate students and postdoctoral researchers to engage in cutting-edge research. Three funded PhD positions are currently open, each on a different project; all can begin in Spring or Fall 2027.
NSF-funded · Spring or Fall 2027
Paleoclimate Data Assimilation
Reconstruct 21,000 years of North American climate by fusing proxy records with climate models, powering continent-scale ecosystem research.
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Privately funded · Spring or Fall 2027
Wildfire Smoke & Aerosols
Measure firefighter smoke exposure in the field and build high-resolution smoke forecasts with our Cornell and Flagstaff fire partners.
Details ↓
NSF-funded · Spring or Fall 2027
AI Lake Model Emulators
Build machine-learning emulators of lake models to test whether seasonal proxy biases explain the Holocene climate conundrum.
Details ↓
Current Opportunities
PhD Position: Paleoclimate Data Assimilation for North American Ecosystem Research
Funding: NSF-funded project
Duration: 4 years
Start Date: Spring or Fall 2027
Project Overview
How much climate change can an ecosystem absorb before its boundaries move? North America warmed by roughly 6°C between the Last Glacial Maximum and today, a natural experiment comparable in magnitude to the warming projected for this century. This NSF-funded collaboration, led by Jack Williams at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, uses that 21,000-year record to quantify how the continent's major ecosystem boundaries, from Arctic treeline to the prairie-forest edge, responded as climate changed around them. NAU leads the climate side of the project: building the reconstructions the ecosystem analysis depends on.
Your Role at NAU
Working with Dr. McKay and Dr. Michael Erb, you will lead the development of new paleoclimate reconstructions for North America using paleoclimate data assimilation, which fuses what proxies and models each do best:
- Proxy records (lake sediments, speleothems, ice cores) anchor the reconstruction in evidence of what actually happened
- Physics-based climate models spread that information across space and time, producing complete maps rather than scattered points
- Statistical downscaling sharpens the results to the fine resolution that ecological analysis demands
You will build on infrastructure our group develops and maintains, including the LiPDverse proxy database and the PReSto reconstruction platform, and your reconstructions will flow directly into the ecosystem-sensitivity analyses at partner institutions.
Ideal Candidate
- Strong background in Earth sciences, climate science, or a related field
- Interest in quantitative methods and statistical analysis
- Experience with programming (R, Python)
- Enthusiasm for interdisciplinary collaboration
- Excellent communication skills
PhD Position: Wildfire Smoke Exposure and Aerosol Science
Funding: Privately funded NAU-Cornell research collaboration (research
assistantship support, supplemented by teaching assistantships)
Duration: 5-year project
Start Date: Spring or Fall 2027
Project Overview
Wildfire smoke is a growing operational and public health problem in the American West. Firefighters work in smoke for long hours, yet sustained, crew-level exposure measurements barely exist, and the smoke forecasts available to fire managers can't resolve the local terrain, convection, and drainage flows that control where smoke actually goes. This long-running NAU-Cornell collaboration tackles both problems directly, in partnership with Flagstaff-area fire managers.
Your Role at NAU
You will help lead the Arizona side of the project, with room to shape your dissertation around the parts that excite you most:
- Firefighter exposure measurement: deploying compact, low-cost sensor kits and personal aerosol samplers with wildland fire crews, building a first-of-its-kind dataset of smoke exposure tied to place, time, and activity
- High-resolution smoke forecasting: pairing WRF simulations with machine-learning downscaling to bring physically realistic, terrain-aware smoke guidance toward operational use
- Aerosol composition: analyzing smoke samples from prescribed burns, pile burns, and wildfires for heavy metals and biological contaminants, in collaboration with Cornell instrumentation labs
The project includes a semester embedded with our collaborators at Cornell, and close work with fire management partners means your results feed directly into decisions about firefighter health and prescribed fire.
Ideal Candidate
- Background in atmospheric science, environmental science, engineering, or a related field
- Enthusiasm for fieldwork and working with community partners
- Interest in sensors, data analysis, or machine learning (experience with any is a plus)
- Motivation to connect research to public health and fire management practice
PhD Position: AI Lake Model Emulators and the Holocene Climate Conundrum
Funding: NSF-funded collaborative project (NAU, University at Buffalo,
University of Montana)
Duration: 4 years
Start Date: Spring or Fall 2027
Project Overview
Climate models and proxy reconstructions disagree about global temperature over the past 12,000 years, a mismatch known as the "Holocene Conundrum." A leading hypothesis is that the proxies, many of which come from lake sediments, record particular seasons rather than the whole year. This project tests that hypothesis at global scale by making lake process models fast enough to run everywhere: we are building physics-informed machine-learning emulators of a widely used lake model, an AI downscaling pipeline that converts coarse paleoclimate model output into the high-resolution weather those emulators need, and a Bayesian framework that confronts the results with a global compilation of Holocene lake temperature records.
Your Role at NAU
You will join a multi-institution team spanning NAU, the University at Buffalo, and the University of Montana, working across the project with deep-learning architectures for emulation and downscaling, paleoclimate model output and proxy data, and the Bayesian seasonality analysis. The project also builds open-source emulator tools intended for process models well beyond limnology, and includes cross-training with the partner institutions and an early-career workshop. Your dissertation can emphasize the machine learning, the paleoclimate dynamics, or both.
Ideal Candidate
- Background in Earth or climate science, physics, computer science, data science, or a related quantitative field
- Programming experience (Python preferred); interest or experience in machine learning
- Curiosity about past climates and what they tell us about the Earth system
- Interest in open-source scientific software and collaborative, distributed teamwork
How to Apply (all positions)
Contact Dr. McKay directly with your CV, research interests, and a brief statement of why the project appeals to you. Early inquiries are encouraged.
We are also always interested in hearing from motivated potential students and collaborators for other projects.
General Information for Prospective Students
Graduate Programs at NAU
Ph.D. Programs:
- Ph.D. in Earth Sciences & Environmental Sustainability, Climate and Environmental Change emphasis
- Ph.D. in Informatics and Computing, Ecological and Environmental Informatics emphasis
Master's Programs:
More on all of these programs at the School of Earth and Sustainability site.
Research Areas
Students working with me typically work on projects related to:
- Paleoclimate record development using lake sediments and other natural archives
- Process-based modeling of climate-proxy relationships
- Paleoclimate synthesis and data-model comparison
- Paleoclimate informatics and data standardization
Skills and Background
Successful students typically have backgrounds in:
- Earth sciences, environmental science, geography, or related fields
- Quantitative analysis and statistics (R, Python, MATLAB)
- Interest in fieldwork and laboratory analysis
- Strong written and oral communication skills
How to Apply
For Graduate Students
- Contact Dr. McKay directly with your research interests and career goals, CV or resume, unofficial transcripts, and a brief description of relevant experience.
- Formal application to the appropriate NAU graduate program, mentioning Dr. McKay as your preferred advisor, with letters of recommendation.
For Postdocs and Visiting Scientists
- Contact Dr. McKay directly to discuss potential collaborations
- Include CV, research statement, and references
- Funding opportunities may be available through NSF, NASA, and other agencies
For Undergraduate Students
- NAU undergraduates can contact Dr. McKay about research opportunities
- Summer research programs (REU) are occasionally available
- Independent study and thesis projects are possible
About Northern Arizona University
NAU is located in Flagstaff, Arizona, at 7,000 feet elevation on the Colorado Plateau. The location provides easy access to diverse field sites including high-elevation lakes in the San Juan Mountains of Colorado, desert and montane ecosystems, and the Colorado River basin. Flagstaff offers excellent outdoor recreation opportunities and is home to Lowell Observatory and the U.S. Geological Survey's Astrogeology Science Center.
Ready to join our research team? Please don't hesitate to reach out with questions about research opportunities, graduate programs, or life in Flagstaff.